The 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season
The 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season may be an active phase. Although, the 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season forecast is tentative due to climate aspects that influence the amount of storms in the Atlantic Ocean are giving inconsistent or anemic signals. Eventful lively hurricane seasons are often coupled with warmer phases of the Atlantic’s main sea surface temperature cycles. Eras of high hurricane activity (1950-1970 and 1995-present) have emerged during the warm phase of a natural oscillation in Atlantic sea surface temperatures known as the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO). The temperate phase of the AMO is associated with warmer than average oceans in the north and tropical Atlantic Ocean coupled with an increased West African monsoon season, advance hurricane development. The years of 2003, 2004 and 2005 produced higher than normal ocean temperatures, possibly resulting in the more active phase producing Hurricane Wilma in 2005. Not only warmer ocean temperatures have an influence in the prediction and development of a busy hurricane season; but wind shear also plays a major factor. Wind shear (changes in wind direction and speed with height in the atmosphere), humidity, and the general reliability of the atmosphere (more unsteady means more storms) have radical effects on hurricane activity. Wind shear movement remains difficult to forecast months in advance.
“The 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Outlook issued by NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center was released on May 25, 2017. It predicted an above-average hurricane season with 11-17 named storms and 5-9 hurricanes of which 2-4 will be major hurricanes (wind speeds in excess of 110mph).”
Warmer than typical ocean temperatures and low wind shear in the tropical Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea shared with near-normal or weak El Niño circumstances are the primary justifications behind the above-average hurricane outlook.
Often people refer to The Old Farmer’s Almanac for weather predictions.
Nevertheless, June 1rst marked the beginning of the 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Homeowners and business owners should prepare now for the season. First and foremost ensure you have your property insurance policy in place. Review the deductibles. Normally the hurricane deductible is 2% or 5 % of the dwelling policy limits. Our public adjusters recommend a 2% deductible. Once there is a named storm you will not be able to alter your policy.
D’Orsa and Associates, LLC public adjusters will review your policy free of charge. Remember, should your property sustain any damage, contact our public adjusters to handle your claim.
The 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season Storm Names
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